All posts by Alan Gibson

PREVIEW May 12th 16:00 Urawa Reds v. Albirex Niigata at Saitama Stadium

Urawa Reds – FW Escudero is playing in training matches. MF Umesaki has a hamstring problem. FW Popo is considered doubtful.

Urawa Reds (P10 W5 D2 L3 GD +10) have only won one of their last four, losing at home to Marinos last week, while being held by Jubilo Iwata last time out. They suffer from a lack of a real striker, although Marcio Richardes and Popo do their best – it may not be enough to prolong an attack at the top spot. Genki Haraguchi scored a beautiful striker’s goal against Jubilo and, if he is fighting fit again, clear of injury, he will be a big addition to the Reds’ arsenal. The flat three at the back seems settled now, with Yuki Abe taking one of the two defensive midfield spots as opposed to a back line role. A wise decision, I believe.

Albirex Niigata (P10 W2 D2 L6 GD -5) have struggled, as expected, this season. The forward additions they have to rely on are Shoki Hirai – on loan from Gamba – and Kisho Yano – back from Europe with his tail between his legs. Neither have set the team alight as yet. They do have two away wins to show for themselves this season – at Cerezo and Sanfrecce, but Reds know that if they are to keep in touch with the top three they must win this kind of game. Winning one in the last four is just not good enough so EXPECT a BIG WIN for Urawa Reds!

Over the last decade Reds have won this meeting 15 times, while Albirex have won just twice, with two draws. Those two wins for Niigata came in J1 in 2006 and the Nabisco Cup in 2005.

PREVIEW May 12th 15:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima v. Yokohama F.Marinos at Hiroshima Big Arch

Yokohama F.Marinos – DF Amano out for most of the season.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (P10 W6 D1 L3 GD +10) stuffed FIVE goals past Kashiwa Reysol last, AWAY! They went out 2-0 in front, Reysol pulled the game back to 2-2 but then Sanfrecce hit them with three late goals to take the points and stay in 3rd place, four points behind leaders Vegalta Sendai. Unfortunately, the match before that Sanfrecce allowed Niigata to take all three points in their home game, so Sanfrecce will be looking to pay back their fans for that huge Golden Week disappointment. Hisashi Sato is in the kind of form that could get him a national team recall and if the likes of Mikic keep supplying the ammunition Sato will keep scoring!

Yokohama F.Marinos (P10 W3 D4 L3 GD 0) have won three games in-a-row after a dire start saw them heading for the bottom of the table. Those wins include an away win at Urawa Reds so, if confidence, and luck are with them, there is no reason why they can’t make a game of this. Forward Oguro is missing many chances, while Marquinos is not ready for a full game yet, so a lot is on the shoulders of young Yuji Ono! The defence misses Amano and centre backs Nakazawa and Kurihara will have their hands full with the J1 top scorer up against them this weekend! Marinos fans are still unsure if they want to keep the same coach but, if a change is to be made, they’ll need to lose a few games – catch 22! Expect a Win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima!

Over the last decade, in 15 meetings, Marinos have seven wins to Sanfrecce’s five, with three draws.

PREVIEW May 12th 15:30 Shimizu S-Pulse v. Cerezo Osaka at Outsourcing Stadium

Shimizu S-Pulse – DF/MF Jong-a-Pin is suspended.
Cerezo Osaka – DF Kodama is back in full training.

Shimizu S-Pulse (P10 W7 D0 L3 GD +5) are hitting peak form AND getting the right results now after some great displays earlier in the season did not bring the results they deserved. Despite ending their two previous games a man short, and two men short respectively, they have come out with maximum points. Last time out they beat the top team Sendai in a real six-pointer and, today, with if Gamba Osaka can bring the goods and beat Sendai in Osaka, S-Pulse can go top with a win today. While Takagi and Omae are getting the plaudits for scoring goals, watch out for Muramatsu in midfield who is a key man in the organisation.

Cerezo Osaka (P10 W4 D1 L5 GD +1) have lost four of their last five games now, including handing wins to hapless Albirex and Consadole and earned their inconsistent tag but, if they keep losing they’ll not be inconsistent any longer, they’ll just be in danger of ending the season struggling against relegation. Midfielder, and star player, Hiroshi Kiyotake has all but confirmed that he will be leaving for Nuremberg in the Bundesliga after the Olympics in London, which will also impact the team. I do not think S-Pulse will let this opportunity go but Cerezo may live up that inconsistent tag again? Expect a WIN for Shimizu S-Pulse!

Head to head over the last decade Cerezo have six wins to S-Pulse’s four, with four draws over the years. In this fixture last year, Cerezo held S-Pulse to a 3-3 draw, while winning the other leg, in Osaka, 4-0.

PREVIEW May 12th 14:00 Sagan Tosu v. Omiya Ardija at Best Amenity Stadium

Sagan Tosu – FW Toyoda is suspended, will be missed. DF Otani and MF Takahashi are long term injuries.

Toyoda will be a big miss for Sagan Tosu (P10 W4 D4 L2 GD +4), sitting pretty in 5th place and confounding the critics so far. But they must fancy their chances against an inconsistent Omiya Ardija (P10 W4 D2 L4 GD -5) who have already seen ups and downs in this short season! Home advantage may well be the key point in this match and Tosu are still unbeaten at home in J1 and will be hoping to keep that statistic intact today.

Omiya Ardija last week made it three home wins in a row since, well, forever, but on their travels they succumbed to Vissel Kobe 3-0 last week and looked very ordinary. The likes of Cho and Higashi have to pull their weight if Omiya are to rise to mid-table safety this season and Brazilian import Carlinhos has to do more to justify keeping Kota Ueda on the bench. Despite the missing Toyoda I am going to tell you to EXPECT a WIN for SAGAN TOSU!

Six wins for Omiya over the last decade, one win for Tosu and a draw in eight meetings, all in J2. This will be their first meeting in J1.

PREVIEW May 12th 14:00 Jubilo Iwata v. Kashima Antlers at Yamaha Stadium

Jubilo Iwata – FW Kanazono is approaching a return, but not yet. GK Kawaguchi is a long term injury.

Jubilo Iwata (P10 W4D3 L3 GD +1) have hit a rough patch after a decent start, and personally I feel the real Jubilo is now showing through and they will not be challenging for honours this season! They have only won one of their last five games and are slipping down the table. Unbelievably, also, in the last ten years, they have won only once in 18 attempts against Antlers, don’t expect another win today as the resurgent Kashima team add to their decent run.

Kashima Antlers (P10 W3 D2 L5 GD -2) won three in-a-row after their dire goalless start, but have slipped to a draw and a loss in their last two outings. Coach Jorginho is getting to know his team’s strengths (and weaknesses – hello Juninho) and with a prolonged partnership up front Koroki and Otake WILL be among the goals. With Jubilo conceding nine goals in their last three games, expect the young dynamic duo to notch again, and EXPECT a WIN for KASHIMA ANTLERS!

It’s true. Get this – in 18 meetings over the last decade Jubilo have won only once – in November 2010 – to Kashima’s record of 12 wins, with five draws!

PREVIEW – May 12th – 13:00 Consadole Sapporo v. FC Tokyo at Sapporo Dome

FC Tokyo – MF Otake out for the season, probably. FW Hirayama expected to be out for two more weeks. MF Tanabe hoping to return from hamstring injury, but probably not this week.

Consadole Sapporo (P10 W1 D1 L8 GD -10) struggle to rack up some points, while FC Tokyo (P9 W4 D0 L4 GD 0) have hit an inconsistent patch and lie mid-table after a spectacular start. They snapped a three game losing streak last week with a win over Albirex Niigata, but that’s no big deal! And a win over Consadole will also be no big deal, but two wins in a row after the rough patch will do the team a world of good! Ex-Marinos pair Watanabe and Aria Jasura Hasegawa (if he can stay on the field long enough) are becoming more influential in their new team’s ways. Expect a WIN for FC TOKYO!

Over the last decade FC Tokyo have won two of the four head to heads, with Sapporo winning once and one draw.

PREVIEW – May 12th 15:00 Kawasaki Frontale v. Kashiwa Reysol at Todoroki Stadium

15:00 Kawasaki Frontale v. Kashiwa Reysol at Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki Frontale – DFs Komiyama and Jeci out for at least another month each.

Kawasaki Frontale (P10 W5 D1 L4 GD -1) are riding the crest of the Kazama wave – a new coach, a new team, a new outlook – the Brazilians are benched and they look like a new prospect for a top 10 finish at least, whereas I had them down for a relegation-fighting season under Naoki Soma, who started the season coaching them! They have hit the goal trail since Kazama took over, thankfully, and, while they still have a negative goal difference, even while sitting in 6th place, things are changing at Kawasaki!

Kashiwa Reysol (P9 W2 D2 L5 GD -5) have not found it easy in their post-Championship season so far, also having to juggle their virgin ACL campaign has made it a tough start to 2012. In my opinion, the acquisition of Ricardo Lobo to disrupt a winning team has not helped. How can this player keep someone like Junya Tanaka on the bench? Coach Nelsinho needs to wake up, smell the Brazilian coffee and then select the local blend! Expect a WIN for KAWASAKI FRONTALE!

Six wins for Frontale over the last decade to three wins for Reysol, and three draws over 12 meetings between these two teams.

Kiyotake On The Move!

Hiroshi Kiyotake will be the latest Japanese up-and-coming youngster to leave Cerezo Osaka and move to Germany after various media outlets “revealed” the badly-kept secret that the U-23 star will move to the Bundesliga’s FC Nuremburg in the European summer transfer window. In a nutshell, the deal had been on the cards for months but both parties were waiting for confirmation that the team would still be in Germany’s top division for next season. Nuremburg were also reported to have shown interest in Takashi Inui and Takashi Usami, both of who are still on their radar – what a trio that would be for the German team!

Kiyotake’s agent, Yoshinori Nishimata of JSP, revealed to me last week that the deal was 99.9% done and the full details would be released as soon as possible. It appears that Cerezo Osaka will be getting a fee somewhere a little closer to a “real” value – compared to the paltry fee that Borussia Dortmund paid the club for Shinji Kagawa – around 1 million Euros is the quote making the rounds. The player himself smiled quietly to himself, and kept his lips sealed when I quizzed him about it on Sunday…. wait and see! Or more of a case of I can’t talk about it, YET!

In an interview for Issue 2 of JSoccer Magazine last autumn, Kiyotake spoke about a move to Europe, and did not deny that he had his heart set on a move abroad sooner rather than later, but said that he couldn’t really discuss it in detail at that time! I noted that he should at least wait until after the Olympics – I actually meant to wait to make the DECISION, not the actual move but, hey, I did my best!

In the last year teams as disparate as Manchester City, Leicester City, Rangers, Feyenoord, and most of Germany have been keeping tabs on the player as he made the successful graduation from the Olympic youngsters to the full national team and Nuremburg faced interest from other clubs, but, with the JSP – Thomas Kroth (executive director of the agency PRO Profil) connections, it was only ever going to be the Bundesliga for Kiyotake!

On the Move to the Bundesliga ...
Kiyotake Walks

Personally I would have hoped that Kiyotake would wait until the end of the 2012 season, rack up a few National team appearances, and have more of a choice of club to move to (in England’s Premier League, for example, a player needs to have played in 75% of the last two years’ national team games) in 2013 but he and his agents have taken this step before the player has had the chance to qualify for that Premier League visa! I expect Manchester City will keep tabs on “Kiyo” and, in a few years Nuremburg will be cashing in, while the agents count their percentages, too!

As for Cerezo Osaka, they replaced Shinji Kagawa. They did without Takashi Inui. They moved on from Akihiro Ienaga. Saying sayonara to Hiroshi Kiyotake is just business as usual for the J.League’s most inconsistent club – perhaps I can give a hint as to why they’re having trouble putting together that winning feeling that they seek season after season!

JSoccer.COMment – Results Round-Up of Games 8, 9 and 10